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Corn Market Expectations

We begin by discussing the corn market, where traders are anticipating an 8 million bushel decline in the production estimate since the last report in November. Historically, the USDA has been known to make revisions, and this time is no different. Despite potential changes, we're faced with a large supply narrative for U.S. corn. Even if there's a production change, it might not be sufficient to significantly alter the supply issue.

To illustrate this point, we refer to a chart that breaks down the corn supply into production, imports, and beginning stocks. It's important to note that we're still looking at record corn production, and when all supply factors are combined, we're dealing with the third largest supply ever. This underscores the challenge ahead for the corn market in addressing the supply glut.